Mega Dream ex — Japanese Market Update (First 4 Days After Release)
Complete Report Based on Accurate Japanese Market Data (Nov 28 – Dec 2)
In the previous article, I explained the unique structure of the Japanese market, how initial prices behave, and what happened right after the release.
This time, I will summarize how the Japanese market stabilized over the first 4 days after release.
During this period, the market clearly began to settle:
- Cards that stabilized
- Cards still showing volatile movement
- Cards where condition differences began affecting prices
Below is a complete breakdown based entirely on accurate price screenshots I verified.
1. BOX (Mega Dream ex)
● Before release (Pre-order market)
¥17,000–¥17,500 ($108–$112)
● Immediately after release
Around ¥13,000 ($82)
● Current (Dec 2)
¥11,780 ($75)
This appears to be the bottom price for now.
● Shrink vs. No-shrink difference
+¥500–¥1,000 only
In Japan, the price gap is usually much wider, but this time the gap is unusually small due to:
- Expectations for restocks
- A pack structure where “searching” cards is impossible
※ Meanwhile, overseas markets are reporting re-shrink issues, so very cheap boxes overseas require caution.
2. Card Prices (Accurate Market Data Only)
◆ Mega Dragonite ex MUR (Mega Ultra Rare)
- Before release: ≈ ¥69,000–¥70,000
- Release day: ¥62,000
- Dec 2: ¥51,569 ($32)
Impression:
Among MUR cards, Dragonite shows the strongest interest and relatively stable demand.
Dragonite also has strong overseas popularity, supporting its value.
◆ Mega Gengar ex SAR
- Before release: ¥99,999 ($635)
- Release day: ¥62,000 ($397)
- Dec 2: ¥51,569 ($330)
Impression:
A drastic drop from prerelease prices, but it has stabilized.
Due to many printing lines on early copies, PSA10 will be extremely rare.
◆ Pikachu ex SAR
- Before release: ≈ ¥28,000 ($178)
- Release day: ≈ ¥24,000 ($152)
- Dec 2: ¥24,215 ($154)
Impression:
Pikachu remains exceptionally strong.
Price stability shows that Pikachu cards rarely fall sharply in Japan.
◆ Mega Dragonite ex SAR
- Before release: No official data
- Release day: No official data
- Dec 2: ¥23,266 ($148)
Impression:
Interest has surged quickly due to Dragonite’s global popularity.
This SAR has strong potential moving forward.
◆ Mega Gengar ex MA (Mega Attack Rare)
- Dec 2: ¥3,467 ($22.10)
Impression:
MA cards are extremely stable with no major volatility.
This rarity tends to hold a consistent price range.
◆ Mega Charizard X ex MA (Mega Attack Rare)
- Dec 2: ¥5,024 (≈ $32)
Impression:
Higher than Gengar MA.
Charizard’s fanbase remains one of the strongest worldwide.
3. Notable Points This Time (Based Only on My Observations)
● Chinese-font foil error on MA cards
Particularly Mega Charizard X MA showed a shocking price of ¥57,800, far above normal MA prices.
● Extremely high rate of printing defects (roller lines)
Across SAR / MUR / MA cards, horizontal printlines are very common.
This means PSA10 population will be extremely low.
● Monster Ball mirror cards worth watching
Rayquaza Monster Ball Mirror started around ¥200 but is rising.
Highly undervalued and may gain traction later.
● Shrink vs. No-shrink price difference is unusually small
Only ¥500–¥1,000, which is rare in Japan.
However, overseas markets are already facing re-shrink issues—
so cheap boxes overseas carry real risk.
4. Conclusion
Four days after release, the Japanese market has largely stabilized.
Prices in Japan are clearly lower than overseas, especially for BOXes.
The Mega Dream ex BOX is currently:
¥11,780 (≈ $75)
— which is significantly cheaper compared to overseas marketplaces.
For my own sales:
- Shrinked and non-shrinked items are both handled safely
- Receipts for non-shrink items are fully stored
- All singles are photographed before purchase
- No resealing, no swaps, no manipulation—ever
Since everything is sourced through official Japanese retail channels,
there is zero re-shrink or authenticity risk, which is a major advantage over overseas purchases.
Final Conclusion
✔ Buying from Japan is currently the best option.
✔ Mega Dream ex is especially advantageous in terms of price, safety, and quality control.
✔ If you want to check real-time stock or availability, feel free to contact me via:
Instagram: pokeshopjp
WhatsApp: Contact
HAKATA7 